State risk profile

North Dakota

AutoRiskIQ explains the location-level forces that influence auto insurance pressure across North Dakota. Scores are informational and focus on relative risk, not individual outcomes.

ND overview

Score status

46

/ 100

46/100
Composite
Moderate
Trend Easing

Percentile-based relative to national average.

Updated 2025-12-30.

Risk scale

Relative risk pressure levels used across AutoRiskIQ.

Lower
Moderate
Elevated
High
Pending data

Risk readiness

Core risk signals for North Dakota

Accident & Exposure Risk

Crash frequency is below the national distribution. Fatality severity is near the national midpoint. Traffic exposure is below the national distribution.

Lower30
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Weather & Environmental Risk

Severe weather exposure is above the national distribution based on FEMA hazard signals.

Elevated72
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Cost & Repair Pressure

Repair cost levels are below the national distribution, with inflation pressure above the national distribution.

Lower24
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Claim Friction & Legal Context

Claim friction signals show complaint frequency is above the national distribution, complaint severity is near the national midpoint, litigation environment is near the national midpoint.

Elevated67
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Theft & Fraud Exposure

Vehicle theft rates are near the national midpoint.

Moderate42
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Market Structure Context

Market structure signals show rate filing activity is near the national midpoint, market concentration is near the national midpoint.

Lower39
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Live traffic context

Active incident feeds in North Dakota

State DOT 511 feeds offer a near-term view of disruptions that can raise short-term claim and repair pressure.

Counts reflect active incidents reported by public traffic systems, not a full crash census.

Active incidents

17

Feeds monitored: 24. Source: State DOT 511 incident feeds + TomTom traffic incidents (third-party).

Updated recently

Top incident types

Road Closed16
Jam1

Risk spotlight

Weather & Environmental Risk in North Dakota

We highlight the highest-pressure risk signal in North Dakota and show the public inputs that drive the score.

72

/ 100

72/100
Spotlight
Elevated
Trend Pending

Severe weather exposure is above the national distribution based on FEMA hazard signals.

Severe weather exposure

Hail, flood, hurricane, and ice/snow exposure signals.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index

Seasonal volatility

Seasonal risk variance index capturing claim spikes.

Sources: NOAA seasonal summaries, State storm event data

Premium pressure context

How premiums compare with risk in North Dakota

This context index uses public NAIC average premium data to show how pricing pressure compares with the risk baseline. It is not a quote or a recommendation.

4

/ 100

4/100
Premium pressure
below risk baseline by 42 pts
NAIC 2023 average premium

Average combined premium: $961

Premium pressure sits below the current risk baseline, which can reflect competitive or timing effects.

Why this can happen

  • Rate adjustments can lag current loss experience and risk shifts.
  • Market structure and competition can push premiums above or below modeled risk.
  • Repair costs, litigation pressure, or catastrophe load can amplify pricing beyond baseline risk signals.

State context

Data-backed context for North Dakota

This section summarizes the strongest public signals behind the state score, highlights trend direction, and flags shifts in claim friction and repair pressure.

Leading signals

  • Weather & Environmental Risk

    Severe weather exposure is above the national distribution based on FEMA hazard signals.

  • Claim Friction & Legal Context

    Claim friction signals show complaint frequency is above the national distribution, complaint severity is near the national midpoint, litigation environment is near the national midpoint.

  • Theft & Fraud Exposure

    Vehicle theft rates are near the national midpoint.