State risk profile

New Jersey

AutoRiskIQ explains the location-level forces that influence auto insurance pressure across New Jersey. Scores are informational and focus on relative risk, not individual outcomes.

NJ overview

Score status

62

/ 100

62/100
Composite
Elevated
Trend Easing

Percentile-based relative to national average.

Updated 2025-12-30.

Risk scale

Relative risk pressure levels used across AutoRiskIQ.

Lower
Moderate
Elevated
High
Pending data

Risk readiness

Core risk signals for New Jersey

Accident & Exposure Risk

Crash frequency is near the national midpoint. Fatality severity is below the national distribution. Traffic exposure is above the national distribution.

Moderate49
View risk detail

Weather & Environmental Risk

Severe weather exposure is above the national distribution based on FEMA hazard signals.

High82
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Cost & Repair Pressure

Repair cost levels are above the national distribution, with inflation pressure above the national distribution.

High86
View risk detail

Claim Friction & Legal Context

Claim friction signals show complaint frequency is below the national distribution, complaint severity is near the national midpoint, litigation environment is above the national distribution.

Moderate57
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Theft & Fraud Exposure

Vehicle theft rates are below the national distribution.

Lower26
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Market Structure Context

Market structure signals show rate filing activity is near the national midpoint, market concentration is near the national midpoint.

Moderate49
View risk detail

Live traffic context

Active incident feeds in New Jersey

State DOT 511 feeds offer a near-term view of disruptions that can raise short-term claim and repair pressure.

Counts reflect active incidents reported by public traffic systems, not a full crash census.

State incident feeds are being added.

Risk spotlight

Cost Pressure & Repair Economics in New Jersey

We highlight the highest-pressure risk signal in New Jersey and show the public inputs that drive the score.

86

/ 100

86/100
Spotlight
High
Trend Pending

Repair cost levels are above the national distribution, with inflation pressure above the national distribution.

Repair cost level

Baseline repair cost levels using CPI index levels, regional price parity, and repair wage benchmarks.

Sources: BLS CPI (auto repair), BEA RPP, BLS OEWS wages

Repair cost inflation

Year-over-year repair inflation with local labor cost multipliers.

Sources: BLS CPI (auto repair), Industry repair indices

Vehicle mix risk

Luxury and EV share with repair cost modifiers.

Sources: State vehicle registration summaries

Premium pressure context

How premiums compare with risk in New Jersey

This context index uses public NAIC average premium data to show how pricing pressure compares with the risk baseline. It is not a quote or a recommendation.

86

/ 100

86/100
Premium pressure
above risk baseline by 24 pts
NAIC 2023 average premium

Average combined premium: $1,693

Premium pressure sits above the current risk baseline, which can reflect market, regulatory, or timing effects.

Why this can happen

  • Rate adjustments can lag current loss experience and risk shifts.
  • Market structure and competition can push premiums above or below modeled risk.
  • Repair costs, litigation pressure, or catastrophe load can amplify pricing beyond baseline risk signals.

State context

Data-backed context for New Jersey

This section summarizes the strongest public signals behind the state score, highlights trend direction, and flags shifts in claim friction and repair pressure.

Leading signals

  • Cost & Repair Pressure

    Repair cost levels are above the national distribution, with inflation pressure above the national distribution.

  • Weather & Environmental Risk

    Severe weather exposure is above the national distribution based on FEMA hazard signals.

  • Claim Friction & Legal Context

    Claim friction signals show complaint frequency is below the national distribution, complaint severity is near the national midpoint, litigation environment is above the national distribution.