State risk profile

Missouri

AutoRiskIQ explains the location-level forces that influence auto insurance pressure across Missouri. Scores are informational and focus on relative risk, not individual outcomes.

MO overview

Score status

53

/ 100

53/100
Composite
Moderate
Trend Easing

Percentile-based relative to national average.

Updated 2025-12-30.

Risk scale

Relative risk pressure levels used across AutoRiskIQ.

Lower
Moderate
Elevated
High
Pending data

Risk readiness

Core risk signals for Missouri

Accident & Exposure Risk

Crash frequency is near the national midpoint. Fatality severity is above the national distribution. Traffic exposure is near the national midpoint.

Elevated64
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Weather & Environmental Risk

Severe weather exposure is near the national midpoint based on FEMA hazard signals.

Moderate44
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Cost & Repair Pressure

Repair cost levels are below the national distribution, with inflation pressure above the national distribution.

Lower29
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Claim Friction & Legal Context

Claim friction signals show complaint frequency is near the national midpoint, complaint severity is near the national midpoint, litigation environment is above the national distribution.

Moderate51
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Theft & Fraud Exposure

Vehicle theft rates are above the national distribution.

High90
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Market Structure Context

Market structure signals show rate filing activity is above the national distribution, market concentration is below the national distribution.

Elevated65
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Live traffic context

Active incident feeds in Missouri

State DOT 511 feeds offer a near-term view of disruptions that can raise short-term claim and repair pressure.

Counts reflect active incidents reported by public traffic systems, not a full crash census.

Active incidents

1,162

Feeds monitored: 1. Source: State DOT 511 incident feeds + TomTom traffic incidents (third-party).

Updated recently

Top incident types

Incident1162

Risk spotlight

Theft & Fraud Exposure in Missouri

We highlight the highest-pressure risk signal in Missouri and show the public inputs that drive the score.

90

/ 100

90/100
Spotlight
High
Trend Easing

Vehicle theft rates are above the national distribution.

Vehicle theft rate

Auto thefts per 100k vehicles with trend direction.

Sources: FBI UCR/NIBRS, NICB reports

Fraud environment

Fraud prevalence signal (low / medium / high).

Sources: NICB fraud reports, State DOI fraud unit summaries

Premium pressure context

How premiums compare with risk in Missouri

This context index uses public NAIC average premium data to show how pricing pressure compares with the risk baseline. It is not a quote or a recommendation.

60

/ 100

60/100
Premium pressure
above risk baseline by 7 pts
NAIC 2023 average premium

Average combined premium: $1,323

Premium pressure sits above the current risk baseline, which can reflect market, regulatory, or timing effects.

Why this can happen

  • Rate adjustments can lag current loss experience and risk shifts.
  • Market structure and competition can push premiums above or below modeled risk.
  • Repair costs, litigation pressure, or catastrophe load can amplify pricing beyond baseline risk signals.

State context

Data-backed context for Missouri

This section summarizes the strongest public signals behind the state score, highlights trend direction, and flags shifts in claim friction and repair pressure.

Leading signals

  • Theft & Fraud Exposure

    Vehicle theft rates are above the national distribution.

  • Market Structure Context

    Market structure signals show rate filing activity is above the national distribution, market concentration is below the national distribution.

  • Accident & Exposure Risk

    Crash frequency is near the national midpoint. Fatality severity is above the national distribution. Traffic exposure is near the national midpoint.