County risk profile

Mesa County, Colorado

AutoRiskIQ explains the forces that shape auto insurance pressure in Mesa County. Scores are informational and describe location trends, not individual outcomes.

CO county view

Score status

45

/ 100

45/100
Composite
Moderate
Trend Easing

Percentile-based relative to national average.

Updated 2025-12-29.

Risk scale

Relative risk pressure levels used across AutoRiskIQ.

Lower
Moderate
Elevated
High
Pending data

Risk readiness

Core risk signals for Mesa County

View risk overview

Accident & Exposure Risk

Crash frequency is near the national midpoint. Fatality severity is near the national midpoint. Traffic exposure is below the national distribution.

Lower35
View risk detail

Weather & Environmental Risk

Severe weather exposure is near the national midpoint based on FEMA hazard signals.

Moderate59
View risk detail

Cost & Repair Pressure

Repair cost levels are below the national distribution, with inflation pressure below the national distribution.

Lower26
View risk detail

Claim Friction & Legal Context

NAIC complaints, DOI enforcement, and litigation environment signals tied to claims.

Pending
View risk detail

Theft & Fraud Exposure

Vehicle theft rates are above the national distribution.

High84
View risk detail

Market Structure Context

Rate filing cadence and market concentration context for pricing power.

Pending
View risk detail

Live traffic context

Local incident feeds for Mesa County

County pages highlight DOT or city incident feeds when they are available for major metros.

Counts reflect active incidents reported to public traffic systems, not a full crash census.

Active incidents

28

Feeds monitored: 4. Source: State DOT 511 incident feeds + TomTom traffic incidents (third-party).

Updated recently

Top incident types

Road Closed25
Road Works2
Jam1

Risk spotlight

Theft & Fraud Exposure in Mesa County

We highlight the highest-pressure risk signal in Mesa Countyand show the public inputs that drive the score.

84

/ 100

84/100
Spotlight
High
Trend Easing

Vehicle theft rates are above the national distribution.

Vehicle theft rate

Auto thefts per 100k vehicles with trend direction.

Sources: FBI UCR/NIBRS, NICB reports

Fraud environment

Fraud prevalence signal (low / medium / high).

Sources: NICB fraud reports, State DOI fraud unit summaries

Premium pressure context

How premiums compare with risk in Mesa County

County premium data is limited, so we use statewide NAIC average premiums for context. This does not represent a quote or a recommendation.

84

/ 100

84/100
Premium pressure
above risk baseline by 39 pts
NAIC 2023 average premium

Statewide average premium: $1,655

Premium pressure sits above the current risk baseline, which can reflect market, regulatory, or timing effects.

Why this can happen

  • Rate adjustments can lag current loss experience and risk shifts.
  • Market structure and competition can push premiums above or below modeled risk.
  • Repair costs, litigation pressure, or catastrophe load can amplify pricing beyond baseline risk signals.

County context

What will be explained for Mesa County

AutoRiskIQ surfaces the most influential signals behind the score, explains changes from prior periods, and compares Mesa County to state and national benchmarks.

Leading signals

  • Theft & Fraud Exposure

    Vehicle theft rates are above the national distribution.

  • Weather & Environmental Risk

    Severe weather exposure is near the national midpoint based on FEMA hazard signals.

  • Accident & Exposure Risk

    Crash frequency is near the national midpoint. Fatality severity is near the national midpoint. Traffic exposure is below the national distribution.